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Mathematical models Lesson 1

Welcome to the Mathematical Models for Advocates Course

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Understand the spread of diseases or the future course of an outbreak
Mathematical models can help us to understand how a disease is spread. They can help us anticipate the future course of an outbreak to better understand the potential impact in terms of how much of a population could potentially become infected. Models can also help us understand more about particular groups of people, for example who might be at greatest risk for contracting HIV or COVID-19.
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Click on the next section to learn more about the characteristics of models

data and assumptions used in the model. Data can be about costs, population sizes, or characteristics of how a disease spreads (epidemiology).

“those things that the modelers do not have data for but about which they make educated guesses

 the findings and results from the model. Outputs from the model can be anything from projections about the future to answers to the research questions that the modelers were originally asking.

estimate new cases and deaths based on past trends

look at how things change under different conditions. They can be used to project how the epidemic might unfold in the coming weeks/months based on public health measures

Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit. Ut elit tellus, luctus nec ullamcorper mattis, pulvinar dapibus leo.
Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit. Ut elit tellus, luctus nec ullamcorper mattis, pulvinar dapibus leo.