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Mathematical Models Matter: A Course for Advocates

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  1. Lesson 1: What Are Mathematical Models And What Are they Used For?
    3 Topics
  2. Lesson 2: Key Components Of Mathematical Models And Common Terminology
    2 Topics
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    1 Quiz
  3. Lesson 3: Limitations Of Mathematical Modeling
  4. Lesson 4: Making Sense Of Mathematical Modeling Studies
    3 Topics
  5. Lesson 5: Making Models Matter
  6. Course Summary

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Topic 3: COVID-19 Case Study

Another instance in which modeling was used to guide public health action was amidst the COVID-19 pandemic. In general, two modeling approaches were used: statistical and dynamic models.

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Statistical models estimate new cases and deaths based on past trends

Dynamic models look at how things change under different conditions. They can be used to project how an epidemic might unfold based on public health measures.

Read the abstract below (full study optional) to learn more.

Estimating the effect of cooperative versus uncooperative strategies of COVID-19 vaccine allocation: a modeling study
In this study, modeling was used to explore the effect of various COVID-19 vaccine allocation strategies across countries. One model found that if the 80% efficacious vaccine was distributed equitably based on population size in each country, 61% of deaths could be prevented. The results demonstrated that equitable global access of COVID-19 vaccines would be the best option for reducing the maximum number of deaths in all countries.
Read the study here.